The risk layer for
prediction markets

Senthos turns event contracts into one book you can price, margin, and finance across every venue.

See how it works
THE LAYER IN BETWEEN

Risk built for binary settlement

Most risk systems expect prices that drift smoothly to settlement, while event contracts jump straight to zero or one, where the real exposure lives.

1
Book, any venue
4
Delivery surfaces
CROSS-VENUE COVARIANCE

Every venue
One verified mark

The same event trades in fragments, each with its own price and depth. Senthos reconciles them into one mark, with the covariance to hedge it.

ONE ENGINE, MANY SURFACES

Everything a desk needs to carry the risk

01Backtest & simulate

Backtest on the book that actually traded

Pin the full order book at any point in time, backtest a strategy against the depth that was really there, and simulate slippage, fills, and execution algos before they touch a live market.

02Factor risk

See the factors that move the book

Decompose every position into the macro factors that actually drive it, so a book that looks diversified by ticker can't hide one bet in disguise.

03Portfolio margin

One correlated book, one number

Margin sized to the netted, correlated book instead of the gross sum of its legs, so offsetting positions free the capital a venue-by-venue view ties up.

04Valuation

Fair value you can defend

An implied distribution, validated on point-in-time data and scored against what the market actually did, so it holds up as fair value a risk committee can stand behind.

05Facilitation

Price the collateral, coordinate the repo

Senthos values event-contract inventory and sets the haircut, so a holder can post it as collateral and borrow cash against it, bilateral or tri-party, on terms a cash lender will actually accept.

06Delivery

Meet your desk where it already works

Every surface reads from the same engine, so the fair value in the console is the value the SDK returns and the API streams.

Risk APIA point-in-time snapshot over REST, or the live streaming curve, wired into the systems you already run.
Python SDKCovariance, implied distributions, and factor decompositions as pandas frames.
MCP serverThe same risk and valuation calls, exposed to agents over MCP.
Web ConsoleFair value, factor risk, and coherence flags in a browser view.
PRIVATE BETA

Take control of your risk

Senthos is currently available to a select group of partners.
Reach out and we will be in touch.

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